{"id":321,"date":"2008-08-21T00:45:08","date_gmt":"2008-08-21T00:45:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/?p=321"},"modified":"2008-08-21T00:45:08","modified_gmt":"2008-08-21T00:45:08","slug":"pattern_recognition_or_the_kob","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/?p=321","title":{"rendered":"Pattern Recognition, or, the Kobayashi Maru"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\nThe narrowing of the race stems from mid-July, right around the time Steve Schmidt&#8217;s influence as the new showrunner for Team McCain began to take hold.  That&#8217;s when the whole &#8220;Celebrity&#8221; theme first emerged, to be clubbed over and over without reticence, and the constant exposure of the new memes (and some whipped up out of whole cloth by media whores* ) is taking points off the front-runner.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nBut the problem for McCain is that the numbers remain pegged at 45%.  Looking at how the percentages have changed, it doesn&#8217;t appear that the <span style=\"text-decoration:line-through;\">Rove<\/span> Schmidt offense has accomplished much beyond coaxing some wavering Rs back into the fold.  And if you&#8217;re running the show for the R&#8217;s, you know that number&#8217;s never going to climb by much.  The economy&#8217;s in the shitter, Iraq&#8217;s going nowhere, Osama Bin Laden&#8217;s still alive, and the incumbent Republican President is more popular than herpes but less than the clap.  By rights, if you&#8217;re running the Rs, you&#8217;re trying to make sure the most padded part of your ass is what gets kicked and hope nobody holds it against you next time out.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAnd yet.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nFor Schmidt, it&#8217;s back to the Rove offense, because at this point there&#8217;s nothing else to run.  If the GOP is going to win, it won&#8217;t be on issues or on the record of the last eight years, it&#8217;ll be because enough people got turned off to Obama to skip out on voting &#8211; and the GOP base got whipped into enough of a frenzy to come out in droves.  Basically, Obama has to be made radioactive, which is why you&#8217;re seeing all the &#8220;celebrity&#8221; stuff.  Obama is for movie stars and shallow college girls.  <em>Real<\/em> Americans wouldn&#8217;t vote for <em>that<\/em>.  Plus, there are enough other people down South who can pump out the racist stuff; no need for the campaign to do it.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAnd yet.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nBasically, for this to work, Bob Barr has to be a non-entity, Ralph Nader&#8217;s army of retards** needs to be bigger than ever, the Obama ground forces need to completely flop on their registration and get-out-the-vote operation, and the political press needs to roll over and play dead.  Right now, the only piece of the puzzle in place is the press (and maybe Barr).\n<\/p>\n<p>\nAnd the big fear, if I&#8217;m running the campaign, is that this is the rope-a-dope.  That Obama&#8217;s gone on vacation, phoned it in for two weeks, spent all that time on the beach watching Michael Phelps and Usain Bolt &#8211; and next week, he&#8217;s going to have a captive audience, the very forum that made his name four years ago, and a switch from &#8220;primary&#8221; to &#8220;general election,&#8221; which means the odometer resets on that whole arsenal of donors who kicked in $50 million just last month.  By Labor Day, he&#8217;ll have his convention bump, a fresh start, and the promise of as much as $150 million down the stretch to sell the dream.  If I&#8217;m Steve Schmidt, the thing that makes me bolt upright in bed at 3 AM is the thought that this was the best shot, and all it got was a statistical tie &#8211; and in six weeks, it&#8217;ll be back to a 150-EV loss.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nNeedless to say, that&#8217;s not much of a future.  So if I&#8217;m running the GOP campaign, I&#8217;m going for a &#8220;shoot the hostage&#8221; play: on Thursday morning, as everyone gets ready for Obama&#8217;s big speech, I&#8217;m rolling out Joe Lieberman as the VP nominee for the GOP.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nThis does a couple of things.  For one, it ensures that Obama has to share the headlines for the rest of the week, possibly kneecapping the post-convention bounce.  For another, it provokes wave after wave of orgasmic rapture in the DC punditocracy; the idea that the brave political maverick has reached across the aisle for his VP &#8211; and not for just anybody but another maverick, the one who was the Dems&#8217; VP only eight years ago &#8211; well, the magical unity pony will be in the barn, and if there&#8217;s one thing the press cannot help but salivate over, it&#8217;s the magical unity pony.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nNow I know what you&#8217;re saying:  &#8220;You&#8217;re crazy!  The Republicans won&#8217;t take a northeastern Jewish liberal as their VP!&#8221;  And I say: that&#8217;s where you&#8217;re wrong.  Who was the first Democrat off the blocks to bemoan the perfidy of Bill Clinton during impeachment?  Who was the first to cast aspersion on Hollywood and the video-game industry for their lack of morality?  Who put up a matador defense down the stretch in 2000?  And more to the point, who&#8217;s the most gung-ho advocate of subduing the Middle East by force?  If McCain&#8217;s going to win this thing, it&#8217;s not going to be on any &#8220;culture of life,&#8221; it&#8217;s not going to be on anything economic, it&#8217;s going to be on the big-stick approach to international affairs and nothing else.  And Lieberman, as the only Likud Senator, is a reliable advocate for the big stick.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nBesides, remember all the crocodile tears about how conservatives would rather vote for Hillary than McCain?  They&#8217;ll get over it.  They <em>always<\/em> get over it, because the constant refrain at the end of the day is always &#8220;the other guys are worse.&#8221;  The people who constantly complain about having to vote for the lesser of two evils?  I&#8217;ll give you a hint: they&#8217;re never Republicans.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nSo that&#8217;s the move: McCain-Lieberman.  It also pays off in one other way: it forces the Democrats to basically drop the penny as far as Lieberman caucusing with them.  Making him a full-on Republican dumps the Senate back to 50-50, and irrespective of how much business the Senate is transacting for the rest of the year (not much) or what kind of provisions are already in place to handle a reversion to a split house (hint: not worth the paper they&#8217;re written on, if push comes to shove), it creates a cauldron of merry mayhem at a time when the Ds can ill-afford to have a flaming shitbag on their back stoop.  Think &#8220;the Democrats are clinging to power when they don&#8217;t have a majority&#8221; and &#8220;Why is Obama not voting on the reorganization of the Senate?&#8221; and remember that the Congress has an approval rating below herpes right now.\n<\/p>\n<p>\nI&#8217;m not saying it&#8217;s a perfect plan, or even a good one.  What I am saying is that this is the kind of year where the GOP stands to take it right in the ass, and the only way to prevent a complete disaster is to do something to radically change the game.  In this case, Trek fans***, my choice is simple: <em> torpedo the damned freighter.<\/em>\n<\/p>\n<p>\n* Not gender-specific, but a shout-out to an old blog called Media Whores Online which did a good job pummeling the press for the way it bent over backwards to try to prevent conservatives saying mean things about them.  Besides, specifically calling Cokie Roberts a dumb whore would, I think, be an unfair slander against the good name of whores.  Whores <em>built<\/em> San Francisco and don&#8217;t you forget it.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n** I&#8217;m not kidding.  If you vote for Nader in 2008, you are a mental defective.  This is not opinion, or rage, or abuse, it is a fact, and it is indisputable.\n<\/p>\n<p>\n*** Not much of a Trek fan myself, but I needed something other than a Keanu Reeves movie that would let me employ the &#8220;shoot the hostage&#8221; angle.  Look, it&#8217;s 1 in the morning and I&#8217;m trying to rage myself to sleep, whaddya want from me?  Besides, you just read 1300 words of this drivel, so who&#8217;s the donkey now, wise guy?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The narrowing of the race stems from mid-July, right around the time Steve Schmidt&#8217;s influence as the new showrunner for Team McCain began to take hold. That&#8217;s when the whole &#8220;Celebrity&#8221; theme first emerged, to be clubbed over and over without reticence, and the constant exposure of the new memes (and some whipped up out &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/?p=321\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Pattern Recognition, or, the Kobayashi Maru&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=321"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/321\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iwasmisinformed.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}