Ad the penny drops.

Not a typo. Effective today, Google has begun introducing advertising into Google Maps. This is why we have Apple Maps: because ads were the price of introducing vector maps and turn-by-turn for the iOS version of Google Maps. Apple said no, took the bullet, and the mapping solution in iOS is still recovering.

Not to say that Apple might not try to monetize its location data in some future version of iOS. Anything’s possible. But Apple is still out to sell you atoms, not bits, and as long as that’s the plan, they’re not going to give away their bits for somebody else to sell. I have no doubt that this news will drive a lot of iPhone users to give Apple Maps another look – and a year on, they might like what they see better than they did on first release.

The Secret World

…is a massively-multiplayer online role-playing game, and it’s literally the first one that ever actually made me consider signing up for it.  Largely because it’s not Yet Another Dungeons And Dragons Knockoff.  Between Everquest and World of Warcraft, it’s tough to find any sort of RPG that isn’t caught up in the same old swords and sorcery and Tolkein-knockoff.  But The Secret World is set in the present day.  Yes there’s magic and such, but there’s also international conspiracy and H.P. Lovecraft and a Hollow Earth and…well, imagine equal parts of Raiders of the Lost Ark and At The Mountains of Madness and you’ll get there.  It doesn’t hurt that two of the factions are Templars and Illuminati (and based on the way the game operates, I can say without hesitation or fear of contradiction that I am all Templar.)

Part of the appeal is just that it’s different.  And part of the appeal is that it apparently doesn’t rely on the endless level-grinding or guild-based dungeon-raiding that other games do; you don’t have to book hours to go clomping along with a bunch of other people in order to play.  The asocial element is kind of appealing, actually.  I think that’s a bit of what drew me to Ingress however briefly – while it’s a huge game of massive factions locked in combat, you actually do all the work by yourself.  I just couldn’t bring it up quickly enough to make it worthwhile, especially with a dodgy side-loaded client.

I guess that’s the genre I’m into now: somewhere between urban fantasy and magical realism. Kentucky Route Zero might be the best example, with its weird and surreal things simmering under the surface of the ordinary world – and that’s as simple a game as you could ask for.  It’s more interactive novel than game, to be honest.  And then, there’s the TV show I’ve unearthed on Netflix and started watching again after twenty years…but that’s a whole post of its own, of which etc etc you know the drill. 

It’s time for something new.  Well, new-ish.  Vampires are played all the way out, the endless Star Trek and Star Wars knockoffs are running out of steam, the superhero genre is starting to feel long in the tooth for everyone that isn’t Marvel Studios, why not break out the magical realism? Skip the Hogwarts stuff and just go for that creeping strangeness that we call magic because we don’t have another explanation for it…after all, isn’t that what the entire genre of magical realism was created for? To work out those things in print that we can’t talk about in polite society?

Or maybe there are just days when you need a demon clawing its way out of the Earth, and a shotgun full of silver pellets, because you just need to be able to shoot something dead with a clear conscience.

Striking

The thing I keep coming back to about the imminent BART strike is the same thing I go to with all manner of public-employee labor disputes: these are the last people to get screwed.  People talk about their zero-contribution defined-benefit pensions as if this is some sort of mystical ice cream land – when this used to be a regular thing.  Seriously. I still have a piece of one myself from my first job, which I started in 1997.  With an old and conservative and slow-to-change organization, sure, but we’re not talking about some sort of cloud-cuckoo-land.  

In fact, what we’re talking about is a lot of what kept people working in public-service jobs for a long time: the promise that you were giving up cash up front now in exchange for a secure and reliable retirement.  Corporate America realized it was cheaper and easier to match some money up front, trumpet the ownership society, and make people do their own retirement financial planning (or better yet, line the pockets of the financial services industry to kinda-sorta-halfass it).  But for the most part, government retirement stayed the same: with no shareholder value to maximize and with things like collective bargaining and workplace rights protected in ways the private sector circumvented to a fault, the public sector remained an echo of the days when you could stay with an employer for thirty years and retire in good stead.

Supposedly, BART employees haven’t had a raise in four years. That’s the other annoying thing: the idea that this notional platinum-encrusted retirement is so generous that asking for a raise is the height of impudence.  But then again, that’s the Southern way: don’t worry about your penurious circumstances now because you’ll get milk and honey and fried catfish in Heaven.  Oddly enough, for some reason this deal is never that attractive to the ones offering it.  But here on Earth, you can’t pay your mortgage with the promise of a gainful retirement – shit costs money. And prices haven’t really been dropping these last four years – gas is still over $4 a gallon and the cable bill never goes any lower.  For all the Fed’s and the Street’s fretting about the inflation risk and damping it down, it hasn’t made stuff cheaper.

No, what happened was that there were jobs that paid and jobs that didn’t.  The jobs that paid got moved to where they could pay people less, and the jobs that didn’t pay so good – the sorts of things filled by high school kids on summer break – stuck around.  We hollowed out that space where people without a professional degree could make a living and raise a family on one income.  There are only a few left, and the people who have them are going to defend them to the very last.  As well they should. “We already screwed everybody else to take your turn” is no reason to accept a screwing yourself.

The Warning Shot

So the Moto X is here.  It’s attractive, it’s innovative in its way, it’s not particularly future-proof, and it’s a lot more expensive than people were anticipating.  And that last bit, while most disappointing/relieving to me, may very well point up a fundamental problem.

See, one of the selling points of the Moto X is that it’s actually put together in America.  Some of the components are imported, of necessity, but the phones themselves get made in Texas, in an old Nokia plant.  It’s the closest thing in years to a legitimately American-made mobile phone.  And it’s got mid-range specs and a high-end price.  And there are some rumblings that this is the inevitable cost of making a phone in America – and by implication, that the current pricing level for high-tech gadgetry is entirely a function of cheap Chinese wages, and that moving away from that inevitably entails a possible doubling of costs.

That’s as may be.  The fact is, almost every high-tech manufacturer had decamped to China by the early 21st century (Apple’s own PowerBook manufacturing left Cork for OEM by Quanta around 2000 sometime).  It’s not unlike what happened to the textile industry over a century and a half of seeking cheap labor – clothing moved from the mill towns of New England to the deep South, and once modern OSHA regulations and labor laws reached the former Confederacy, the industry promptly chose to up sticks and move into Central America, and eventually as far as South Asia. Bangladesh recently experienced a loss of life an order of magnitude worse than the legendary Triangle Shirtwaist Fire of 1911, which caught the attention of the rest of the world and pointed up the fact that it’s not just high tech: mass manufacturing as a whole has been moved to where labor is cheapest and oversight is slightest. 

The thing about technology is this: as a result of ten years of manufacturing in Shenzen, all by the same half-dozen companies like Foxconn or Pegatron, an infrastructure has grown up around that manufacturing process that provides economies of scale. Setting up shop to make iPhones or iPads in the United States would entail moving the supply chain for parts, or else shipping them halfway around the world (much as Motorola may have to do with the X), and then building the infrastructure to do large-scale assembly of delicate parts. Almost from scratch, at that, since Silicon Valley manufacturing mostly evaporated twenty years ago.  Not for nothing is this Motorola plant in Texas, which leads the country in “business is always right and taxes are always wrong” levels of regulation and workplace safety; the South has always been the site for manufacturing of last resort before leaving the US altogether.  And even with all that, the Moto X’s announced cost at point of purchase is nearly double that of similarly-configured hardware from other manufacturers.

There are other theories around this. The most prominent is that Motorola is attempting to send the signal that because this phone costs $200 on contract, it is a peer of other phones that cost $200 on contract like the HTC One or Samsung Galaxy S4 – phones that have much more advanced technical specs. Or of the iPhone, which is similarly equipped but almost a year old and due to be replaced with a more advanced model by the end of autumn.  Maybe it’s the designer jeans approach – if you charge $200 for it, people will think it’s worth $200.

But it’s also entirely possible that this is the price of “made in America”.  Just like the Levis 501 jeans that cost $40 off the shelf or $178 for the LA-made North Carolina denim pair, it may be that what we think of as a mid-range Android phone just has to cost twice what we’re used to if we want to put it together in the United States instead of whatever the cheapest sweatshop in Shenzhen is this month.  Maybe if a lot of different companies went that route – if we had the Fort Worth Special Economic Zone and went nuts with the tax incentives and unemployment was high enough that the necessary skilled labor could be had at a minimal wage and a whole lot of gadget makers started making a whole lot of gadgets here – you might eventually achieve some economy of scale and drive down the cost.

But for whoever goes first, it’s going to be an expensive proposition, and nobody is patriotic enough to take a bath on their earnings while rebuilding the sector. More to the point, Wall Street won’t reward you for the long-term thinking, because they’re not capable of seeing a world beyond the next quarter.  So for Motorola to do this at all, they’re going to have to be able to do some magic – using patriotism and multi-colored shells to convince Ed Earl Brown to buy a quarter for fifty cents.  Whether enough people are willing to buy into the magic…well, I guess we’ll find out.

Echs

Well, here we go…the Moto X is here, or close anyway. It is pretty much as advertised in every leak – mid-range technical specs but engineered for maximum usability – except for one thing.  I posited in my last post that there were rumblings that the phone could be had off-contract for $200.

Instead, it’s $200…with a two-year contract.  And the Verizon version is already coming with the typical load of Verizon crapware.  And the customization features…are currently exclusive to AT&T.  And there will be a “Google Play” (read: un-crapped and unlocked) version…sometime.

This might be the most Android thing ever: a legitimately exciting device with a ton of buzz among the technorati, shipping without the latest version of Android and encumbered by its carrier partners.  This isn’t Samsung shitting up the phone with TouchWiz and a load of badly-designed gimmicks, this is damn near a pure Android experience, but it’s still going to suffer from the Android problem: you have to buy the device knowing full well that you may never get an Android version update.

That ain’t hay. Motorola (and through them, Google) is taking a risk by selling a phone with last year’s top-of-the-line specs at the price point and contract obligation normally associated with “hero” phones like the Samsung Galaxy S4 or HTC One.  This is a bet that “premium user experience” can be made to trump “premium hardware” – but the question is, with a 2-year contract obligation, will you still be happy with the Moto X in January 2015 if it’s still running its 2013 OS on its 2012-grade hardware?

To be brutally honest, it’s a relief. I was afraid the temptation would be too much to resist and that I’d wind up dropping $300 for a second phone before even setting up some sort of prepaid service. (Not for nothing but you can go prepaid with T-Mobile for $30 a month and get 100 minutes talk, unlimited text, and unlimited data with the first 5G at full speed – I honestly don’t know why I’d ever need anything else.)  Instead, if this turns out to be the whole story, and the Moto X ends up as just another phone, it will be one of the hugest missed opportunities in mobility.  And that’s a shame, at a time when cellular services in this country desperately need shaking up.