1) The SEC has never lost a BCS title game.
2) Alabama has never beaten Texas.
3) From 2002 on, the #1 team has lost every BCS title game but one.
Offhand, you don’t like to see that math.
On the other hand, the Big 12 was dreadful this year – the Big 12 North produced exactly one bowl-eligible team, and they lost to Texas on a neutral site by one point, holding them to 13.
Much will depend, ultimately, on how well Bama prepares. The memory of last year’s humiliation in the Sugar Bowl should be ever-present. With a month to watch tape, Texas will presumably be prepared to stack the box against Mark Ingram and force Greg McElroy to throw. Whether Terrence Cody can replicate Nebraska’s success in threatening McCoy with a big space-eating defensive lineman remains to be seen.
Be afraid. Be very afraid. And then make the fear work for you.